Reasoning
The governing ATM VCEP v1.5 (ClinGen HBOP) defines PS4 at Pathogenic Strong as: "Case-control studies; p-value <=.05 AND (Odds ratio, hazard ratio, or relative risk >=2 OR lower 95% CI >=1.5)." The comparison operator for the enrichment statistic, quoted literally from that rule, is ">=" (greater-than-or-equal), and this criterion strengthens as the value goes UP: met requires OR/HR/RR >= 2, or lower 95% CI >= 1.5, together with p <= .05. Explicit substitution: no odds ratio, hazard ratio, relative risk, p-value, or confidence interval for ATM c.7031G>A (p.Trp2344Ter) is reported anywhere in the retrieved evidence, so no inequality of the form "value >= 2" can even be written; with no value to substitute, neither "OR >= 2" nor "lower 95% CI >= 1.5" is satisfied, and PS4 is not met. The four PS4/PP5 candidate publications that were retrievable (PMID:25394175, PMID:24366376, PMID:25741868, PMID:27413114) contain no ATM c.7031G>A content and no case-control enrichment data; the remaining leads (PMID:26389210, PMID:31479213, PMID:34012068) had no retrievable full text. Frequency data alone (gnomAD v4.1 total AF 6.195871319187746e-07, 1/1,613,978 alleles, 0 homozygotes) describe rarity, not case-control enrichment, and cannot be converted into PS4 under this specification.
Rule
Case-control studies; p-value <=.05 AND (Odds ratio, hazard ratio, or relative risk >=2 OR lower 95% CI >=1.5).
Evidence considered
- ClinGen HBOP ATM VCEP v1.5 (cspec) sets PS4 at Pathogenic Strong with the rule: "Case-control studies; p-value <=.05 AND (Odds ratio, hazard ratio, or relative risk >=2 OR lower 95% CI >=1.5)."
- Operator and direction taken only from that PS4 rule, not from any other criterion in this group: ">=" for OR/HR/RR and ">= 1.5" for the lower 95% CI, i.e. larger values strengthen PS4; met requires value >= 2 (OR/HR/RR) or value >= 1.5 (lower 95% CI).
- No odds ratio, hazard ratio, relative risk, p-value, or confidence interval for ATM c.7031G>A appears in any retrieved source, so the required comparison is unformable and PS4 cannot be met.
- The variant is a rare truncating allele: gnomAD v4.1 total AF 6.195871319187746e-07 (1/1,613,978 alleles, 0 homozygotes), highest subpopulation AF 1.098008213101434e-05 (1/91,074 South Asian alleles), absent from gnomAD v2.1; rarity is not case-control enrichment evidence.
- PMID:25394175 (ACMG/NSGC referral-indications guideline) was screened in full text and does not mention ATM, c.7031G>A, or p.(Trp2344Ter); it reports no enrichment statistic.
- PMID:24366376 (USPSTF BRCA-related cancer risk assessment) was screened in full text and discusses only BRCA1/BRCA2; it contains no ATM or c.7031G>A content and no case-control data.
- PMID:25741868 (ACMG/AMP 2015 standards) was consulted for the general PS4 case-control definition; it reports no ATM-specific cohort or variant-level statistics.
- ClinVar variation 2679782 labels the variant Pathogenic on laboratory submissions only (4 clinical laboratories Pathogenic, 1 Likely pathogenic); that aggregate label is a classification, not case-control enrichment evidence.
Still missing
- No case-control study reporting an odds ratio, hazard ratio, relative risk, or confidence interval for ATM c.7031G>A was identified in this case.
- PMID:26389210, PMID:31479213 and PMID:34012068 were triaged as PS4 candidate leads but no full text was retrievable, so their content could not be screened.
Sources