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Variant interpretation report

MSH6 c.1019T>C, p.(Phe340Ser)

NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C NP_000170.1:p.(Phe340Ser) Missense · exon 4 View identifiers
Classification
Likely benign

Variant description:

No variant summary was recorded for this case.

Five-step scale from benign to pathogenic. This variant is likely benign. Select a step to read what it means.

Likely benign.A likely benign classification under the recorded framework.

In plain language

Gene-level background from the recorded interpretation.

About MSH6

MSH6 encodes a protein in the DNA mismatch repair system, which fixes errors made during DNA replication. Partnering with MSH2, it forms a complex that recognizes and helps correct mismatched DNA bases, keeping the genetic code stable. Inherited mutations in MSH6 cause Lynch syndrome (hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer), raising the risk of colorectal, endometrial, ovarian, and other cancers, while mutations in both copies lead to constitutional mismatch repair deficiency. Because faulty mismatch repair drives tumor development and produces microsatellite instability, MSH6 acts as a tumor suppressor, and cancers with such repair defects often respond well to immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy.

LYFE Sciences is an AI system, and it can make mistakes. Criteria may be applied incorrectly, sources may be misread, and a confident-looking classification can still be wrong. Double-check every criterion and its underlying evidence before relying on any call.
01The reasoning

How it was classified

The recorded framework is ClinGen MSH6 VCEP v2.0. The criteria and strengths shown below come from the saved assessment; this page does not recalculate the classification.

Recorded applied criteria

The applied criteria and their strengths are shown as assessed under the stated framework.

Pathogenic evidence criteria: 0 Benign evidence criteria: 2
Pathogenic criteria applied · 0

No pathogenic criterion marked as applied in the recorded assessment.

Benign criteria applied · 2
BP4Supporting
BP4 · supporting

Met, supporting: MSH6 HCI prior probability 0.0019 is below the VCEP BP4 threshold of <0.11.

BP6Supporting
BP6 · supporting

Met, supporting: the exact-variant ClinVar expert panel classified NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C as Likely benign with three-star review.

Recorded classification: Likely benign

Likely Benign: BP4 (supporting) and BP6 (supporting benign) satisfy the InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP's Rule19.

02The sources

Evidence at a glance

Evidence summaries and captured source records, where available. Missing entries should not be interpreted as negative findings.

gnomAD v4.1
gnomAD v2.1
Population frequency
147 / 1,614,104 alleles

gnomAD v4.1: 147 / 1,614,104 alleles. Recorded AF 9.10722e-05. Recorded homozygote count 0.

gnomAD v2.1

This variant is present in gnomAD v2.1 (AF= 3.53699e-05; MAF= 0.00354%, 10/282726 alleles, homozygotes = 0) and has highest observed frequency in the Remaining individuals population (AF= 0.000138351; MAF= 0.01384%, 1/7228 alleles, homozygotes = 0); grpmax FAF= 2.295e-05.

gnomAD-Canada

This variant is present in gnomAD-Canada v1.0 (AF= 0.00010856584518510477, 2/18422 alleles, homozygotes = 0).

No screenshot for this evidence
REVEL score
0.540 recorded score

Recorded REVEL score: 0.540. Refer to the recorded PP3/BP4 rationale for interpretation.

ClinVar submissions
12 reported laboratory submissions

6 Likely benign · 5 Uncertain significance · 1 Benign. ClinVar API review status: reviewed by expert panel.

Functional evidence
Statement recorded

OncoKB did not identify variant-specific reviewed functional evidence for this variant; gene-level curated context is available for reviewer follow-up. MSH6, a DNA mismatch repair protein, is frequently mutated in colorectal, small bowel, and endometrial cancers.

No listed criterion applied OncoKB ↗
COSMIC
Cancer Hotspots
Somatic evidence
No matching record reported

This variant has not previously been reported in somatic cancers (COSMIC).

Cancer Hotspots

This variant does not lie in a statistically significant hotspot.

For specialists

Technical detail

ACMG/AMP criteria under ClinGen MSH6 VCEP v2.0, with the data and sources behind each one.

28 criteria with recorded statuses: 2 met · 10 not met · 6 not assessed · 10 not applicable. Open any row for the full reasoning, the rule and the evidence behind it.

Met Not met Not assessed Not applicable

Segregation/de novo evidence does not support pathogenicity: PS2 lacks a confirmed de novo observation, PM6 is not applicable under the MSH6 VCEP, PP1 is below threshold with segregation likelihood ratio 1.000, and BS4 is not met because the same ratio is outside the benign non-segregation ranges.

The governing MSH6 InSiGHT VCEP makes PS4 not applicable and provides tumor-specific PP4 and BP5 rules.

The available exact-variant tumor report documents MSI at BAT40 only with retained MSH6 staining, which does not satisfy the VCEP PP4 or BP5 requirements.

ClinVar contains an exact-variant three-star InSiGHT expert-panel Likely benign classification, supporting BP6 and not PP5.

This group evaluates only PP3, BP4, and BP7. The variant is missense, so PP3/BP4 use the missense path and BP7 is not applicable.

The governing MSH6 HCI table directly assigns BP4 supporting from the exact HCI prior value 0.0019; the same value does not meet the MSH6 PP3 thresholds.

Met · 2

BP4 SupportingMet, supporting: MSH6 HCI prior probability 0.0019 is below the VCEP BP4 threshold of <0.11. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The variant is a missense substitution, and the governing MSH6 HCI-PRIORS-MSH6 table contains the exact c.1019T>C / p.F340S entry with HCI prior probability 0.0019. The MSH6 VCEP directly assigns BP4 supporting when the HCI prior probability is <0.11; 0.0019 satisfies that rule. This governing assignment takes precedence over generic predictor thresholds. SpliceAI is not used for missense BP4, and BayesDel has no applicable MSH6 cutoff in the governing specification.

Rule
Missense variant with HCI-prior probability of pathogenicity <0.11, as specified by the MSH6 VCEP.
Evidence considered
  • The governing MSH6 HCI-PRIORS-MSH6 table was searched for c.1019T>C, p.Phe340Ser, and p.F340S and contains the exact entry with HCI prior probability 0.0019.
  • The MSH6 VCEP specification assigns BP4 supporting to a missense variant with HCI prior probability <0.11; the observed value 0.0019 satisfies this criterion.
  • Because this is a missense variant, SpliceAI no-impact evidence is not used for BP4; the governing HCI assignment is applied directly.
Sources
cspec ↗vcep_hci_priors_msh6
BP6 SupportingMet, supporting: the exact-variant ClinVar expert panel classified NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C as Likely benign with three-star review. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

Expert panel International Society for Gastrointestinal Hereditary Tumours (InSiGHT) classified as Likely benign.

Rule
BP6 supporting: exact-variant ClinVar expert-panel classification of Benign or Likely benign.
Evidence considered
  • ClinVar records the exact NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C (p.Phe340Ser) variant as Likely benign, reviewed by the International Society for Gastrointestinal Hereditary Tumours (InSiGHT) expert panel with three stars.
  • BP6 was applied only from this exact-variant expert-panel assertion; ordinary laboratory submissions, aggregate ClinVar labels, and non-expert assertions were excluded.
  • ClinVar expert panel classification
Sources

Not met · 10 · evaluated, threshold not reached

PS1 Not met: no different nucleotide change producing the same p.Phe340Ser substitution was established as Pathogenic by the MSH6 VCEP. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The applicable InSiGHT MSH6 specification requires a different nucleotide change producing the same amino-acid substitution that this VCEP established as Pathogenic, or a qualifying splice comparison. The reviewed evidence concerns NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C, p.Phe340Ser itself; no different nucleotide change producing p.Phe340Ser established as Pathogenic by the VCEP was identified. The exact variant was reported as likely benign by the expert panel, and the relevant papers do not provide a qualifying PS1 comparator.

Rule
A predicted missense substitution that encodes the same amino acid change with a different underlying nucleotide change previously established by this VCEP as Pathogenic (not a predicted or confirmed splice defect).
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 VCEP PS1 rule requires the same amino-acid change from a different nucleotide change and prior VCEP establishment as Pathogenic, excluding predicted or confirmed splice defects.
  • The reviewed records and papers identify the target as c.1019T>C, p.Phe340Ser; they do not identify a different nucleotide change producing p.Phe340Ser that was established as Pathogenic by the VCEP.
  • The exact variant is reported as Likely benign by the InSiGHT expert panel, which is not qualifying PS1 evidence for a different nucleotide comparator.
Sources
PM2 Not met: gnomAD v4.1 allele frequency 9.10722e-05 exceeds the MSH6 VCEP PM2 cutoff of <0.00002. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The governing InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP specifies PM2_Supporting for an allele frequency <0.00002 in the gnomAD v4 dataset. The default all-comers gnomAD v4.1 allele frequency is 9.10722e-05 (147/1,614,104 alleles), with zero homozygotes, which exceeds the VCEP cutoff. The gnomAD v2.1 and v3.1 non-cancer subset frequencies are also above 0.00002, so PM2 is not met.

Rule
Absent/extremely rare allele frequency <0.00002 (<1 in 50,000 alleles) in gnomAD v4 dataset.
Evidence considered
  • The InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP Version 2.0 defines PM2_Supporting as absent or extremely rare allele frequency <0.00002 (<1 in 50,000 alleles) in gnomAD v4.
  • gnomAD v4.1 reports 147 alternate alleles among 1,614,104 alleles, AF 9.10722e-05, and zero homozygotes; this is above 0.00002.
  • The non-cancer subsets also exceed the VCEP cutoff: gnomAD v2.1 non-cancer exomes AF 3.80087e-05 and gnomAD v3.1 non-cancer genomes AF 6.0819e-05.
  • Plaschke et al. reported the variant absent from 246 healthy-control chromosomes, but that historical small control observation does not satisfy the VCEP's required gnomAD v4 threshold.
Sources
PP1 Not met: the exact-variant segregation likelihood ratio was 1.000, below the MSH6 PP1 Supporting threshold of >2.08. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The MSH6 VCEP requires a combined cosegregation Bayes likelihood ratio >2.08 for PP1 Supporting, >4.3 and ≤18.7 for Moderate, or >18.7 in at least two families for Strong. For this exact variant, the multifactorial analysis reports a segregation likelihood ratio of 1.000, which is below the VCEP Supporting threshold; the source also reports no family history, no siblings, and no descendants in the reported patient. Thus PP1 is not met.

Rule
MSH6 InSiGHT VCEP v2.0 PP1: combined Bayes likelihood ratio >2.08–≤4.3 = Supporting; >4.3–≤18.7 = Moderate; >18.7 in ≥2 families = Strong.
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 VCEP PP1 thresholds are combined Bayes likelihood ratio >2.08 and ≤4.3 for Supporting, >4.3 and ≤18.7 for Moderate, and >18.7 in ≥2 families for Strong.
  • For MSH6 c.1019T>C p.(Phe340Ser), the multifactorial likelihood table reports a segregation likelihood ratio of 1.000.
  • The original case report describes patient KN18 as having no family history and no siblings or descendants, providing no additional informative pedigree for cosegregation.
Still missing
  • No informative affected or unaffected relatives with genotypes are available to establish additional cosegregation
Sources
PP3 Not met: MSH6 HCI prior probability 0.0019 is below the VCEP PP3 supporting threshold of >0.68. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The variant is a missense substitution, so the applicable computational path is the missense path. The governing MSH6 HCI lookup contains c.1019T>C / p.F340S with HCI prior probability 0.0019. Under the MSH6 VCEP specification, PP3 requires an HCI prior probability >0.68 for supporting or >0.81 for moderate; 0.0019 meets neither threshold. SpliceAI is not used to support or refute PP3 for this missense variant, and the available REVEL score of 0.54 does not provide a governing VCEP PP3 assignment.

Rule
Missense variant with HCI prior probability for pathogenicity >0.81 for PP3_Moderate, or >0.68 and <=0.81 for PP3_Supporting, as specified by the MSH6 VCEP.
Evidence considered
  • VariantValidator identifies NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C as the missense variant NP_000170.1:p.(Phe340Ser) / p.(F340S).
  • The governing MSH6 HCI-PRIORS-MSH6 table was searched for c.1019T>C, p.Phe340Ser, and p.F340S and contains the exact entry with HCI prior probability 0.0019.
  • The MSH6 VCEP specification assigns PP3 supporting at HCI prior probability >0.68 and PP3 moderate at >0.81; the observed value 0.0019 meets neither threshold.
  • REVEL is available at 0.54, but no governing MSH6 PP3 code is assigned from that score; SpliceAI is not used for missense PP3/BP4 evaluation.
Sources
cspec ↗vcep_hci_priors_msh6revel
PP4 Not met: the reported tumor had MSI at BAT40 only, not documented MSI-H by the VCEP-required standard panel or consistent MMR-protein loss. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The MSH6 VCEP requires at least one CRC or endometrial MSI-H tumor assessed with a standard 5-10-marker panel or tumor genome, and/or MMR-protein loss consistent with the variant location. The exact-variant report describes only MSI at BAT40, not MSI-H by a standard panel, and immunostaining was positive for hMSH6, hMSH2, and hMLH1 rather than showing consistent MMR-protein loss. Thus the PP4 supporting rule is not met.

Rule
Supporting: 1 CRC/Endometrial MSI-H tumor using a standard panel of 5-10 markers or tumor genome and/or loss of MMR protein expression consistent with the variant location; MSI-H with inconsistent protein expression does not meet PP4.
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 VCEP supporting rule requires 1 CRC or endometrial MSI-H tumor using a standard 5-10-marker panel or tumor genome and/or MMR-protein loss consistent with the variant location; inconsistent protein expression does not meet PP4.
  • The exact-variant report describes a colorectal tumor with MSI at BAT40 only and positive immunostaining for hMSH2, hMLH1, and hMSH6; it does not document MSI-H by the specified standard panel or consistent loss of MSH6 protein.
Sources
PP5 Not met: the exact-variant ClinVar expert panel classified the variant Likely benign, not Pathogenic or Likely pathogenic. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The exact-variant ClinVar record has an InSiGHT expert-panel classification of Likely benign, not Pathogenic or Likely pathogenic. The available ordinary laboratory submissions and literature classifications do not qualify for PP5, so no pathogenic expert-panel assertion supports this criterion.

Rule
PP5 supports only an exact-variant ClinVar expert-panel classification of Pathogenic or Likely pathogenic; ordinary laboratory submissions, aggregate labels, and non-expert assertions do not qualify.
Evidence considered
  • ClinVar identifies the exact NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C (p.Phe340Ser) variant as Likely benign with a three-star InSiGHT expert-panel review; no exact-variant Pathogenic or Likely pathogenic expert-panel classification is present.
  • Non-expert laboratory submissions, aggregate labels, and computational or publication classifications were not used to trigger PP5.
Sources
BA1 Not met: gnomAD v4 Grpmax filtering allele frequency 9.857e-05 is below the MSH6 VCEP BA1 threshold of 0.0022. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The governing InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP specifies BA1 when gnomAD v4 Grpmax filtering allele frequency is >=0.0022, provided the variant is not a founder pathogenic variant. The default all-comers gnomAD v4 Grpmax filtering allele frequency is 9.857e-05 (joint), far below 0.0022; the available non-cancer values are also below this threshold (gnomAD v2.1 non-cancer exomes AF 3.80087e-05 and gnomAD v3.1 non-cancer genomes AF 6.0819e-05). Therefore BA1 is not met. No founder-pathogenic designation is documented, but that does not alter the frequency result.

Rule
GnomAD v4 Grpmax filtering allele frequency >= 0.0022 (0.22%) and variant is excluded as founder pathogenic variant.
Evidence considered
  • The InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP Version 2.0 defines BA1 as gnomAD v4 Grpmax filtering allele frequency >=0.0022 (0.22%), excluding founder pathogenic variants.
  • gnomAD v4.1 reports joint Grpmax filtering allele frequency 9.857e-05 for 147/1,614,104 alleles, with zero homozygotes.
  • The non-cancer subsets do not approach the BA1 threshold: gnomAD v2.1 non-cancer exomes AF 3.80087e-05 and gnomAD v3.1 non-cancer genomes AF 6.0819e-05.
Sources
BS1 Not met: gnomAD v4 Grpmax filtering allele frequency 9.857e-05 is below the MSH6 VCEP BS1 lower threshold of 0.00022. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The governing InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP specifies BS1_Strong when gnomAD v4 Grpmax filtering allele frequency is >=0.00022 and <0.0022, provided the variant is not a founder pathogenic variant. The all-comers gnomAD v4 joint Grpmax filtering allele frequency is 9.857e-05, below the lower bound of 0.00022; the non-cancer subset values are likewise below that bound. BS1 is therefore not met.

Rule
GnomAD v4 Grpmax filtering allele frequency >= 0.00022 and < 0.0022 (0.022-0.22%) and variant is excluded as founder pathogenic variant.
Evidence considered
  • The InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP Version 2.0 defines BS1_Strong as gnomAD v4 Grpmax filtering allele frequency >=0.00022 and <0.0022, excluding founder pathogenic variants.
  • gnomAD v4.1 reports joint Grpmax filtering allele frequency 9.857e-05 for this variant, below 0.00022.
  • The non-cancer subset observations are also below the VCEP BS1 lower bound: gnomAD v2.1 non-cancer exomes AF 3.80087e-05 and gnomAD v3.1 non-cancer genomes AF 6.0819e-05.
Sources
BS4 Not met: the segregation likelihood ratio was 1.000, above the MSH6 BS4 Supporting range of >0.05 to ≤0.48. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The MSH6 VCEP requires a combined cosegregation Bayes likelihood ratio <0.05 for BS4 Strong or >0.05 and ≤0.48 for BS4 Supporting. The exact-variant multifactorial analysis reports a segregation likelihood ratio of 1.000, not a likelihood ratio within either BS4 range, and the reported case provides no informative non-segregation pedigree. Therefore BS4 is not met.

Rule
MSH6 InSiGHT VCEP v2.0 BS4: combined Bayes likelihood ratio <0.05 = Strong; >0.05–≤0.48 = Supporting.
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 VCEP BS4 thresholds are combined Bayes likelihood ratio <0.05 for Strong and >0.05 and ≤0.48 for Supporting.
  • For MSH6 c.1019T>C p.(Phe340Ser), the multifactorial likelihood table reports a segregation likelihood ratio of 1.000, which falls outside both BS4 ranges.
  • The original case report describes no family history, siblings, or descendants, so it does not provide an informative non-segregation pedigree.
Still missing
  • No informative unaffected relatives carrying the variant or affected relatives lacking the variant are documented
Sources
BP5 Not met: one tumor showed MSI at BAT40 only with positive MSH6 staining, without the VCEP-required qualifying tumor count or alternate molecular basis. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The MSH6 VCEP BP5 rule requires two or three qualifying tumors for supporting evidence: CRC or endometrial tumors with MSS and/or no MMR-protein loss, or LS-spectrum tumors with MMR-protein loss inconsistent with MSH6; alternatively, one BRAF V600E or MLH1-methylated MSI-H tumor under the specified conditions. The exact-variant report provides one colorectal tumor with MSI at BAT40 only and positive MSH6 staining, not a qualifying MSS/no-loss or alternative-molecular-basis pattern. No BRAF V600E or MLH1 methylation evidence is reported.

Rule
Supporting: 2 or 3 qualifying tumors with MSS and/or no MMR-protein loss and/or inconsistent MMR loss, or 1 BRAF V600E/MLH1-methylated tumor with MSI-H and MLH1 loss.
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 VCEP supporting BP5 rule requires 2 or 3 qualifying tumors with MSS and/or no MMR-protein loss, or one BRAF V600E/MLH1-methylated tumor with MSI-H and MLH1 loss.
  • The exact-variant report describes one colorectal tumor with MSI at BAT40 only and positive hMSH6 immunostaining; it reports no BRAF V600E or MLH1 methylation result.
Sources

Not assessed · 6 · no assessment recorded

PS2 Not assessed: no confirmed de novo observation or parental testing is documented for MSH6 c.1019T>C. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The MSH6 VCEP specifies PS2 by de novo point count: 0.5 points is Supporting, 1–1.5 Moderate, 2–3.5 Strong, and at least 4 Very Strong. The available case and literature evidence document no trio testing, parental genotypes, confirmed de novo observation, maternity/paternity confirmation, or other de novo point-bearing observation for c.1019T>C (p.Phe340Ser), so PS2 cannot be assessed.

Rule
MSH6 InSiGHT VCEP v2.0 PS2: ≥4 de novo points = Very Strong; 2–3.5 = Strong; 1–1.5 = Moderate; 0.5 = Supporting.
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 VCEP PS2 rule assigns Supporting strength at 0.5 de novo points, Moderate at 1–1.5, Strong at 2–3.5, and Very Strong at ≥4 points.
  • No de novo event, parental genotype result, or confirmed trio observation is reported in the available case evidence for c.1019T>C (p.Phe340Ser).
Still missing
  • Trio or parental testing demonstrating the variant is absent in both biological parents
  • Confirmation of maternity and paternity if applying a confirmed de novo point model
Sources
PS3 Not assessed: p.Phe340Ser lacks calibrated functional odds or a documented validated assay sufficient to meet the MSH6 VCEP PS3 thresholds of 2.08, 4.3, and 18.7. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The governing InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP requires calibrated functional odds greater than 18.7 for PS3_Strong, greater than 4.3 and up to 18.7 for PS3_Moderate, or greater than 2.08 and up to 4.3 for PS3_Supporting. For p.Phe340Ser, the available variant-specific publication reports an in-vitro "Wild type" result but does not provide calibrated functional odds or sufficient documentation of a validated protein-function assay with the assay controls and calibration required by the VCEP functional-assay framework. The reported result therefore cannot establish a PS3 strength.

Rule
Calibrated functional assays with functional odds for pathogenicity >18.7 = PS3_Strong; >4.3 and <=18.7 = PS3_Moderate; >2.08 and <=4.3 = PS3_Supporting.
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 VCEP specifies PS3_Strong for calibrated functional odds for pathogenicity >18.7, PS3_Moderate for >4.3 to <=18.7, and PS3_Supporting for >2.08 to <=4.3.
  • The variant-specific report lists MSH6 c.1019T>C p.(Phe340Ser) with an in-vitro result of "Wild type," but does not report calibrated functional odds or sufficient protein-assay validation and control details to assign PS3.
Still missing
  • A calibrated MSH6 functional assay with quantitative functional odds is not available.
  • A validated protein-function assay with documented wild-type, deficient, and pathogenic controls is not available for this variant.
Sources
PM3 Not assessed: no qualifying affected-proband observation with a pathogenic MSH6 variant confirmed in trans and no PM3 point count is documented. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The MSH6 InSiGHT VCEP specifies PM3 by point-counting observations of the variant in affected individuals with a pathogenic or likely pathogenic MSH6 variant in trans, with strengths of Supporting at 0.5 points, Moderate at 1–1.5 points, Strong at 2–3.5 points, and Very Strong at ≥4 points. The available exact-variant report describes one patient with MSH6 p.Phe340Ser and tumor loss of the wild-type allele, but does not document a second pathogenic MSH6 variant, confirmed trans phase, or a qualifying biallelic affected-proband observation. Therefore PM3 cannot be assigned from the available evidence.

Rule
MSH6 InSiGHT VCEP PM3: ≥4 points Very Strong; 2–3.5 points Strong; 1–1.5 points Moderate; 0.5 points Supporting.
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 InSiGHT VCEP PM3 rule assigns strength from point counts: 0.5 points Supporting, 1–1.5 Moderate, 2–3.5 Strong, and ≥4 Very Strong.
  • The exact-variant report describes F340S in one 75-year-old woman with colorectal cancer and reports loss of the wild-type allele in the tumor, but does not report a second pathogenic MSH6 variant or confirmed trans phase.
  • Tumor loss of the wild-type allele is not, by itself, evidence that the germline variant was observed in trans with a pathogenic MSH6 allele in an affected proband.
Still missing
  • A qualifying affected individual with MSH6 p.Phe340Ser and a pathogenic or likely pathogenic MSH6 variant in trans is not documented.
  • Confirmed phase and the number of independent qualifying observations are unavailable.
Sources
PM5 Not assessed: no qualifying alternate missense change at residue 340 was identified for comparison under the MSH6 PM5 rule. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The governing MSH6 PM5 rule requires a different missense change at the same amino-acid residue classified by this VCEP as Pathogenic or Likely Pathogenic on the protein level and not because of aberrant splicing; it also requires PP3 Supporting for the target missense change. The target is p.Phe340Ser, but the collected same-residue comparator search found no usable candidates, and the reviewed paper extracts identify the target variant rather than a qualifying alternate missense change at residue 340. Therefore PM5 cannot be adjudicated from the available evidence.

Rule
Missense change at an amino acid residue where a different missense change was classified as Pathogenic or Likely Pathogenic on the protein level and not due to aberrant splicing. Only use PM5 if PP3 is supporting for the missense change.
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 VCEP PM5 rule requires a different missense change at the same residue classified by the VCEP as Pathogenic or Likely Pathogenic on the protein level and not due to aberrant splicing; PM5 also requires PP3 Supporting for the target missense change.
  • The collected PM5 candidate record reports zero same-residue candidates and no expert-panel or non-expert majority Pathogenic/Likely Pathogenic comparator candidates, with retrieval limited by an HTTP 429 error.
  • The reviewed papers mention or evaluate the target p.Phe340Ser but do not provide a qualifying alternate missense comparator at residue 340.
Still missing
  • A curated same-residue search for alternate MSH6 missense variants at p.Phe340 with VCEP Pathogenic or Likely Pathogenic classification is still needed.
Sources
BS2 Not assessed: no qualifying in-trans co-occurrence, phase confirmation, and CMMRD exclusion are documented for the BS2 rule. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The MSH6 VCEP requires confirmed co-occurrence in trans with a known pathogenic sequence variant in the same gene in a patient with colorectal cancer after age 45 or another Lynch-spectrum cancer above the median age of onset, plus no evidence of CMMRD and parental or offspring confirmation of phase. The reviewed case evidence provides no qualifying co-occurrence, phase confirmation, or CMMRD assessment, so BS2 cannot be adjudicated.

Rule
Co-occurrence in trans with a known pathogenic sequence variant in the same gene in a patient with colorectal cancer after age 45 (or another Lynch-spectrum cancer above the median age of onset), without evidence of CMMRD; phase requires parental or offspring testing.
Evidence considered
  • The InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP BS2 rule requires confirmed in-trans co-occurrence with a known pathogenic sequence variant in the same gene, qualifying cancer age or tumor context, no CMMRD manifestations, and phase confirmation through parents or offspring.
  • No qualifying co-occurrence, phase, or CMMRD evidence is available in the reviewed case materials.
Still missing
  • A documented patient with this variant and a known pathogenic MSH6 sequence variant in confirmed trans phase.
  • Qualifying cancer age or Lynch-spectrum cancer context and documented absence of CMMRD manifestations.
  • Parental or offspring testing confirming phase.
Sources
BS3 Not assessed: the reported p.Phe340Ser "Wild type" result lacks calibrated functional odds and documented concordant protein and mRNA assay evidence required for MSH6 BS3. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The governing InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP requires calibrated functional odds for pathogenicity <=0.05 for BS3_Strong, or >0.05 and <=0.48 for BS3_Supporting; alternatively, variant-specific proficient function must be demonstrated in protein and mRNA-based assays according to the MMR functional-assay flowchart. The available report lists an in-vitro "Wild type" result for p.Phe340Ser, but the extracted assay context indicates an in-vitro splicing analysis rather than a documented calibrated protein-function assay, and it does not establish the concordant protein and mRNA evidence or controls required by the flowchart. Therefore BS3 cannot be assigned.

Rule
Calibrated functional assays with functional odds for pathogenicity <=0.05 = BS3_Strong; >0.05 and <=0.48 = BS3_Supporting; alternatively, variant-specific proficient function in protein and mRNA-based assays as per the MMR functional assay flowchart.
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 VCEP specifies BS3_Strong for calibrated functional odds for pathogenicity <=0.05 and BS3_Supporting for >0.05 and <=0.48, or variant-specific proficient function in protein and mRNA-based assays following the MMR functional-assay flowchart.
  • The variant-specific report lists p.Phe340Ser as "Wild type" in its in-vitro column, but the available methods describe in-vitro splicing analysis and do not document calibrated protein-function results, quantitative functional odds, or the concordant assay controls required to apply BS3.
Still missing
  • No calibrated functional odds for pathogenicity are reported for p.Phe340Ser.
  • A documented variant-specific protein assay with appropriate wild-type, deficient, and pathogenic controls is not available.
  • The available in-vitro result does not establish the VCEP flowchart requirement for concordant proficient protein and mRNA function.
Sources
Not applicable · 10· recorded as not applicable Show reasons ▾Hide reasons ▴
PVS1 N/ANot applicable: NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C is a missense SNV producing p.Phe340Ser, not a qualifying null or canonical splice variant. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The applicable ClinGen InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP framework reserves PVS1 for null or qualifying splice-altering variants. NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C is a missense SNV producing NP_000170.1:p.(Phe340Ser), not a nonsense, frameshift, canonical splice, initiation-codon, or exon-deletion variant; therefore PVS1 is not applicable. No PVS1 strength tier is assigned.

Rule
MSH6 VCEP Version 2.0 PVS1 applicability rule
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 Version 2.0 VCEP PVS1 rule specifies nonsense/frameshift variants, qualifying splice variants, initiation-codon variants, and large genomic alterations; it does not apply to this missense SNV.
  • Variant normalization identifies NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C as NP_000170.1:p.(Phe340Ser), a missense consequence on the preferred transcript.
Sources
PS4 VCEPNot applicable: the MSH6 VCEP excludes PS4 proband counting when tumor IHC evidence is available. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The MSH6 InSiGHT VCEP specifies PS4 as not applicable because tumor IHC data are used for variant classification through PP4 rather than proband counting. Therefore, no case-control enrichment or odds-ratio threshold is applied to PS4 for this variant.

VCEP rule
PS4 is not applicable for MSH6 under the InSiGHT VCEP: tumor IHC data are available for variant classification through PP4.
Evidence considered
  • The governing MSH6 VCEP states that PS4 has not been utilized for MMR variant classification using proband counting because tumor IHC data are available for classification through PP4.
Sources
PM1 VCEPNot applicable: the governing MSH6 VCEP explicitly designates PM1 as Not Applicable. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The governing InSiGHT MSH6 specification marks PM1 as Not Applicable. The vcep_materials domain_tables object is empty, so there is no authoritative gene-specific domain-table entry to apply; generic PM1 cannot override the applicable VCEP rule.

VCEP rule
Not Applicable under the governing InSiGHT MSH6 Version 2.0 specification.
Evidence considered
  • The governing InSiGHT MSH6 Version 2.0 specification explicitly lists PM1 as Not Applicable.
  • The extracted vcep_materials domain_tables object contains no MSH6 entries; therefore no authoritative domain-table boundary is available or applicable under this VCEP rule.
Sources
cspec ↗vcep_mmr_functional_domains
PM4 VCEPNot applicable: p.Phe340Ser is a missense substitution with no protein-length change, and the MSH6 VCEP does not use PM4 for in-frame length changes. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The applicable ClinGen InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP Version 2.0 marks PM4 not applicable and states that protein-length change from an in-frame variant is not used due to lack of evidence. This SNV causes the missense substitution p.Phe340Ser and produces no protein-length change, so PM4 is not applicable.

VCEP rule
MSH6 VCEP Version 2.0 PM4 applicability rule
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 VCEP Version 2.0 explicitly marks PM4 not applicable and states that protein-length change from an in-frame variant is not used due to lack of evidence.
  • Variant normalization identifies a single-nucleotide substitution causing p.Phe340Ser rather than an in-frame insertion, deletion, or stop-loss event.
Sources
PM6 VCEPNot applicable: the MSH6 VCEP explicitly excludes PM6 from use for this gene. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The governing MSH6 InSiGHT VCEP v2.0 explicitly marks PM6 as not applicable. Therefore, unconfirmed de novo evidence cannot be assigned PM6 under this specification, regardless of whether a suspected de novo observation is reported.

VCEP rule
MSH6 InSiGHT VCEP v2.0: PM6 applicability = Not Applicable.
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 InSiGHT VCEP v2.0 lists PM6 as Not Applicable.
Sources
PP2 VCEPNot applicable: the governing MSH6 VCEP explicitly designates PP2 as Not Applicable. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The governing InSiGHT MSH6 specification explicitly marks PP2 as Not Applicable; no generic PP2 inference is permitted when an applicable VCEP specification controls the criterion.

VCEP rule
Not Applicable under the governing InSiGHT MSH6 Version 2.0 specification.
Evidence considered
  • The governing InSiGHT MSH6 Version 2.0 specification explicitly lists PP2 as Not Applicable.
Sources
BP1 VCEPNot applicable: the governing MSH6 VCEP explicitly designates BP1 as Not Applicable. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The governing InSiGHT MSH6 specification explicitly marks BP1 as Not Applicable; generic BP1 cannot be substituted for the gene-specific rule.

VCEP rule
Not Applicable under the governing InSiGHT MSH6 Version 2.0 specification.
Evidence considered
  • The governing InSiGHT MSH6 Version 2.0 specification explicitly lists BP1 as Not Applicable.
Sources
BP2 VCEPNot applicable: the governing InSiGHT MSH6 Version 2.0 specification explicitly designates BP2 as not applicable. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The applicable ClinGen InSiGHT MSH6 Version 2.0 specification explicitly marks BP2 as Not Applicable. No generic BP2 assessment is substituted for the governing gene-specific specification.

VCEP rule
InSiGHT MSH6 Version 2.0: BP2 is Not Applicable.
Evidence considered
  • The governing InSiGHT MSH6 Version 2.0 specification lists BP2 with applicability: Not Applicable.
Sources
BP3 VCEPNot applicable: the variant is a missense SNV, not an in-frame insertion or deletion in a repetitive region. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The applicable ClinGen InSiGHT MSH6 VCEP Version 2.0 marks BP3 not applicable and defines it only for in-frame deletions or insertions in repetitive regions without a known function. This variant is a missense SNV, not an in-frame indel, so BP3 is not applicable.

VCEP rule
MSH6 VCEP Version 2.0 BP3 applicability rule
Evidence considered
  • The MSH6 VCEP Version 2.0 explicitly marks BP3 not applicable and limits the criterion to in-frame insertions or deletions in repetitive regions without known function.
  • Variant normalization identifies NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C as a missense SNV producing p.Phe340Ser, with no insertion or deletion and no protein-length change.
Sources
BP7 N/ANot applicable: c.1019T>C is an exonic missense variant, whereas BP7 applies only to synonymous or qualifying intronic variants. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

BP7 applies only to synonymous variants or qualifying intronic variants. NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C is an exonic missense variant encoding p.Phe340Ser, so BP7 is outside its criterion scope and is not evaluated.

Rule
A synonymous (silent) or intronic variant at or beyond -21/+7 (5'/3' exonic), according to the MSH6 VCEP specification.
Evidence considered
  • VariantValidator places the variant in exon 4 and identifies the protein consequence as p.(Phe340Ser), establishing that it is exonic and missense.
  • The MSH6 VCEP BP7 rule is limited to synonymous or qualifying intronic variants.
Sources

Identifiers

Gene
MSH6
Transcript
NM_000179.3
Coding (HGVS c.)
NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C
Protein (HGVS p.)
NP_000170.1:p.(Phe340Ser)
GRCh38
chr2:47799002 T>C
GRCh37
chr2:48026141 T>C
Location and type
Exon 4 · missense
ClinVar
1743850, 89165

Gene diagram

Every interpreted variant in MSH6, mapped onto the exon structure of NM_000179.3. Select a row to find it on the plot.

MSH6NM_000179.3
Fetching transcript structure from UCSC…
gnomAD v4.1 147 / 1,614,104 alleles AF 9.11e-05 · 0 homozygotes · FAF 9.86e-05
gnomAD v2.1 10 / 282,726 alleles AF 3.54e-05 · 0 homozygotes · FAF 2.3e-05
gnomAD-Canada v1.0 Allele count data not recorded

By genetic ancestry

gnomAD v4.1

AF 9.1e-05 · 147 / 1,614,104 alleles · 0 hom · FAF 9.9e-05
Remaining individuals9 / 62,488 0.00014
European (non-Finnish)135 / 1,180,046 0.00011
Admixed American2 / 60,012 3.3e-05
African/African American1 / 74,936 1.3e-05
0 alternate alleles recorded in 6 other groups: European (Finnish), Amish, East Asian, Middle Eastern, South Asian, Ashkenazi Jewish.

gnomAD v2.1

AF 3.5e-05 · 10 / 282,726 alleles · 0 hom · FAF 2.3e-05
Remaining individuals1 / 7,228 0.00014
Admixed American2 / 35,436 5.6e-05
European (non-Finnish)7 / 129,050 5.4e-05
0 alternate alleles recorded in 5 other groups: African/African American, Ashkenazi Jewish, East Asian, European (Finnish), South Asian.

gnomAD-Canada

AF not recorded · ? / ? alleles

Statements

gnomAD v4.1

This variant is present in gnomAD v4.1 (AF= 9.10722e-05; MAF= 0.00911%, 147/1614104 alleles, homozygotes = 0) and has highest observed frequency in the Remaining individuals population (AF= 0.000144028; MAF= 0.01440%, 9/62488 alleles, homozygotes = 0); grpmax FAF= 9.857e-05.

gnomAD v2.1

This variant is present in gnomAD v2.1 (AF= 3.53699e-05; MAF= 0.00354%, 10/282726 alleles, homozygotes = 0) and has highest observed frequency in the Remaining individuals population (AF= 0.000138351; MAF= 0.01384%, 1/7228 alleles, homozygotes = 0); grpmax FAF= 2.295e-05.

gnomAD-Canada

This variant is present in gnomAD-Canada v1.0 (AF= 0.00010856584518510477, 2/18422 alleles, homozygotes = 0).

Open the gnomAD-Canada detail page →

SpliceAI and Pangolin

SpliceAI acceptor lossat +393 bp
0.000
SpliceAI acceptor gainat -387 bp
0.003
SpliceAI donor lossat -110 bp
0.001
SpliceAI donor gainat +265 bp
0.003
Pangolin splice lossmagnitude shown
-0.001
Pangolin splice gain
0.005

Other predictors

REVEL
0.540
BayesDel
0.305

How the predictions were used

BP4 SupportingMet, supporting: MSH6 HCI prior probability 0.0019 is below the VCEP BP4 threshold of <0.11. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The variant is a missense substitution, and the governing MSH6 HCI-PRIORS-MSH6 table contains the exact c.1019T>C / p.F340S entry with HCI prior probability 0.0019. The MSH6 VCEP directly assigns BP4 supporting when the HCI prior probability is <0.11; 0.0019 satisfies that rule. This governing assignment takes precedence over generic predictor thresholds. SpliceAI is not used for missense BP4, and BayesDel has no applicable MSH6 cutoff in the governing specification.

Rule
Missense variant with HCI-prior probability of pathogenicity <0.11, as specified by the MSH6 VCEP.
Evidence considered
  • The governing MSH6 HCI-PRIORS-MSH6 table was searched for c.1019T>C, p.Phe340Ser, and p.F340S and contains the exact entry with HCI prior probability 0.0019.
  • The MSH6 VCEP specification assigns BP4 supporting to a missense variant with HCI prior probability <0.11; the observed value 0.0019 satisfies this criterion.
  • Because this is a missense variant, SpliceAI no-impact evidence is not used for BP4; the governing HCI assignment is applied directly.
Sources
cspec ↗vcep_hci_priors_msh6
PP3 Not met: MSH6 HCI prior probability 0.0019 is below the VCEP PP3 supporting threshold of >0.68. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

The variant is a missense substitution, so the applicable computational path is the missense path. The governing MSH6 HCI lookup contains c.1019T>C / p.F340S with HCI prior probability 0.0019. Under the MSH6 VCEP specification, PP3 requires an HCI prior probability >0.68 for supporting or >0.81 for moderate; 0.0019 meets neither threshold. SpliceAI is not used to support or refute PP3 for this missense variant, and the available REVEL score of 0.54 does not provide a governing VCEP PP3 assignment.

Rule
Missense variant with HCI prior probability for pathogenicity >0.81 for PP3_Moderate, or >0.68 and <=0.81 for PP3_Supporting, as specified by the MSH6 VCEP.
Evidence considered
  • VariantValidator identifies NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C as the missense variant NP_000170.1:p.(Phe340Ser) / p.(F340S).
  • The governing MSH6 HCI-PRIORS-MSH6 table was searched for c.1019T>C, p.Phe340Ser, and p.F340S and contains the exact entry with HCI prior probability 0.0019.
  • The MSH6 VCEP specification assigns PP3 supporting at HCI prior probability >0.68 and PP3 moderate at >0.81; the observed value 0.0019 meets neither threshold.
  • REVEL is available at 0.54, but no governing MSH6 PP3 code is assigned from that score; SpliceAI is not used for missense PP3/BP4 evaluation.
Sources
cspec ↗vcep_hci_priors_msh6revel
BP7 N/ANot applicable: c.1019T>C is an exonic missense variant, whereas BP7 applies only to synonymous or qualifying intronic variants. Details ▾Hide ▴
Reasoning

BP7 applies only to synonymous variants or qualifying intronic variants. NM_000179.3:c.1019T>C is an exonic missense variant encoding p.Phe340Ser, so BP7 is outside its criterion scope and is not evaluated.

Rule
A synonymous (silent) or intronic variant at or beyond -21/+7 (5'/3' exonic), according to the MSH6 VCEP specification.
Evidence considered
  • VariantValidator places the variant in exon 4 and identifies the protein consequence as p.(Phe340Ser), establishing that it is exonic and missense.
  • The MSH6 VCEP BP7 rule is limited to synonymous or qualifying intronic variants.
Sources

Statement

In silico

SpliceAI predicts no significant splice impact for this variant (max delta score = 0.00). REVEL score = 0.54. BayesDel score = 0.304735. HCI prior probability for pathogenicity = 0.0019. MAPP score = 3.51. Custom PP2 score = 0.017.

8 paper records listed. No publication is explicitly linked to an applied criterion in the recorded metadata.

Recorded publications

  • Sequence analysis of the mismatch repair gene hMSH6 in the germline of patients with familial and sporadic colorectal cancer.
    Plaschke J et al. · 2000
    The paper reports MSH6 F340S in patient KN18 and discusses codon 340, but describes the variant's possible pathogenic role as unresolved; it is the target variant, not a different same-amino-acid nucleotide change or an alternate residue-340 missense comparator.
    Names this variant
    PMID 10699937 ↗
    Quoted passage
    A missense variant, changing phenylalanine to serine at codon 340, was identified in the germline of patient KN18, who suffered from colorectal cancer at the age of 75 (Fig. 1).

    Results, paragraph describing patient KN18; Discussion, paragraph beginning ‘The phenylalanine to serine change at codon 340’; Table III

  • Genetic cancer risk assessment and counseling: recommendations of the national s
    No paper-specific finding is recorded.
    PMID 15604628 ↗
  • Classification of mismatch repair gene missense variants with PON-MMR.
    Ali H et al. · 2012
    The paper lists MSH6 F340S among variants predicted pathogenic by the PON-MMR consensus predictor, but reports no alternate residue-340 missense comparator and no VCEP classification of a different nucleotide change producing the same amino-acid substitution.
    Names this variant
    PMID 22290698 ↗
    Quoted passage
    F340S

    Table 3, Predicted Pathogenic and Neutral MMR Missense Variants, MSH6 pathogenic column

  • A multifactorial likelihood model for MMR gene variant classification incorporating probabilities based on sequence bioinformatics and tumor characteristics: a report from the Colon Cancer Family Registry.
    Thompson BA et al. · 2013
    The multifactorial analysis explicitly evaluates MSH6 c.1019T>C p.Phe340Ser and assigns it a posterior probability of 0.011 and Class 2 likely not pathogenic; the record is for the target variant itself and does not provide a qualifying alternate residue-340 comparator.
    Names this variant
    PMID 22949379 ↗
    Quoted passage
    MSH6 c.1019T>C p.(Phe340Ser) 0.002 →0.1 0.100 1.000 0.100 0.011 Wild type Class 2-–likely not pathogenic

    Table 2, MSH6 section

  • CoDP: predicting the impact of unclassified genetic variants in MSH6 by the combination of different properties of the protein.
    Terui H et al. · 2013
    The paper lists MSH6 F340S with a CoDP score of 0.001 in the category of variants with no impact on MSH6; it does not report a qualifying alternate missense variant at residue 340.
    Names this variant
    PMID 23621914 ↗
    Quoted passage
    F340S 0.001

    Table 8, Classification results of UVs in MSH6 by CoDP; ‘The variants with no impact on MSH6’

  • A systematic approach to assessing the clinical significance of genetic variants
    No paper-specific finding is recorded.
    PMID 24033266 ↗
  • Standards and guidelines for the interpretation of sequence variants: a joint co
    No paper-specific finding is recorded.
    PMID 25741868 ↗
  • Cancer Genetics Risk Assessment and Counseling (PDQ®): Health Professional Versi
    No paper-specific finding is recorded.
    PMID 26389258 ↗

Screenshots represent source records captured during evidence collection. Select one to view the recorded source content.

All source links

Statements for reports

The evidence statements recorded by the interpretation pipeline. They have not been reinterpreted by the page.

gnomAD v4.1

This variant is present in gnomAD v4.1 (AF= 9.10722e-05; MAF= 0.00911%, 147/1614104 alleles, homozygotes = 0) and has highest observed frequency in the Remaining individuals population (AF= 0.000144028; MAF= 0.01440%, 9/62488 alleles, homozygotes = 0); grpmax FAF= 9.857e-05.

gnomAD v2.1

This variant is present in gnomAD v2.1 (AF= 3.53699e-05; MAF= 0.00354%, 10/282726 alleles, homozygotes = 0) and has highest observed frequency in the Remaining individuals population (AF= 0.000138351; MAF= 0.01384%, 1/7228 alleles, homozygotes = 0); grpmax FAF= 2.295e-05.

gnomAD-Canada

This variant is present in gnomAD-Canada v1.0 (AF= 0.00010856584518510477, 2/18422 alleles, homozygotes = 0).

ClinVar

This variant has been reported in ClinVar as Likely benign (6 clinical laboratories) and as Uncertain significance (5 clinical laboratories) and as Benign (1 clinical laboratory) and as Likely benign by International Society for Gastrointestinal Hereditary Tumours (InSiGHT) (expert panel). (ClinVarID = 89165)

In silico

SpliceAI predicts no significant splice impact for this variant (max delta score = 0.00). REVEL score = 0.54. BayesDel score = 0.304735. HCI prior probability for pathogenicity = 0.0019. MAPP score = 3.51. Custom PP2 score = 0.017.

Functional

OncoKB did not identify variant-specific reviewed functional evidence for this variant; gene-level curated context is available for reviewer follow-up. MSH6, a DNA mismatch repair protein, is frequently mutated in colorectal, small bowel, and endometrial cancers.

Somatic

This variant does not lie in a statistically significant hotspot. This variant has not previously been reported in somatic cancers (COSMIC).

Cancer Hotspots

This variant does not lie in a statistically significant hotspot.